There are 5 red balls and 7 green balls in a bag. A ball is taken from the bag at random and not replaced. Then a second ball is taken from the bag. What is the probability that the 2 balls are the same colour?

Initially, there are 12 balls in the bag. Therefore the chance of the first ball being red is 5/12 and green is 7/12. The probabilities of the second ball are dependent on the first ball, as it is removed from the bag: this is Conditional Probability.1st Case (Ball 1 is red):The number of red balls in the bag is now 4, and the total number of balls in the bag is 11. So the probability of pulling out a second red ball is 4/11. We aren't concerned with the probability of the green ball because we want to find the probability of both balls the same colour.2nd Case (Ball 1 is green):The number of green balls is now 6, total number of balls is 11. So probability of pulling out a green ball again is 6/11.
Now we have our two cases we need to find the probability of each and then the combined probability. For AND probability we multiply, so P(2 red) is (5/12) * (4/11) = 20/132 = 10/66P(2 green) is (7/12)*(6/11) = 42/132 = 21/66 Then we need to find the probability of either of the previous two outcomes occuring. Since this is OR probability, we add, therefore P(2 same colour) is 10/66 + 21/66 = 31/66.
Extra work could include identifying probability of both different without much more calculation (collective exhaustivity) or same again but balls are replaced after taking them from the bag.

Answered by Stanley L. Maths tutor

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